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8% growth, a piece of cake

 
By Anonymous at Sun, 2006-01-08 09:11 | Economy

Surjit S Bhalla argues in an article on the Business Standard that a 8% GDP growth for India might be a tad to easy to achieve.

...industrial growth should easily coast at 8% plus levels. Growth in services has historically averaged about 2% higher than industry, which means that services growth should be at least 9% plus. These two sectors, accounting for 80% of GDP, should allow GDP growth to be above 7%. And if agricultural growth matches its long-run average, Indian GDP growth will be 8%.

The article also refutes the populist hyperbole in the UPA government’s claim that if Indians want GDP growth to be 8% plus, then agriculture has to grow at 4%

Read the entire article here.

For an economy the size of

By venky on Sun, 2006-01-08 09:14

For an economy the size of India it is simply not possible to obtain high rates of growth depending simply on agriculture. Industry and services is what is going to get us to 8% and above.

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